Current(Perth Metro)



Radar



Monday, 5 February 2018

Weather forecast for Perth effective as of 5:00 PM Monday February 5

Weather forecast for Perth effective as of 5:00 PM Monday February 5:

Explanatory notes:
Scroll down below this section for forecast. 


Figure 1.Surface synoptic chart at  06 UTC(2 PM local time today).Image courtesy of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology(BOM).



Figure 2.Key features identified on True Colour RGB satellite image at around 07:00 UTC(3 PM local time today).Satellite image courtesy of the Japanese Meteorological Agency(JMA).


Figure 3.Mean Sea Level Pressure(MSLP) analysis with infrared greyscale satellite image at 06 UTC(2 PM local time today).Image courtesy of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology(BOM).





Figure 4:Surface synoptic prognosis.Image courtesy of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology(BOM).



Sea breezes occurred on today as the southerly pressure gradient "bent" with solar heating with the west coast trough inland.

Sea breezes,stronger than today's expected tomorrow from as early as mid morning as southerly pressure gradient "bends" with solar heating.

The chance of elevated showers and thunderstorms late tonight until morning tomorrow with relatively high amounts of moisture and relatively steep vertical lapse rates ahead of an an upper level trough/disturbance.The low level wind convergence at around 850-750 hPa level could act as a trigger.

A more southeasterly pressure gradient from Wednesday but there would be plenty of clouds on Wednesday with plenty of low level moisture,hence possible drizzle in the morning.

Sea breezes likely return from Thursday with the west coast trough inland.

Some uncertainty on the precise temperatures during the weekend with variations in ensemble and multi model ensemble projections.

The long spell with no 40+ Degree Days continues with the last 40+ Degree Day being Australia Day last year!With no 40+ Degree day within the forecast period,the next 40+ Degree Day will be at least the latest during summer as the 2005-2006 summer.




The rest of Monday February 5:
City:
Possible late shower or thunderstorm.
Chance of any rain:20%





Perth metropolitan area:
Mostly clear to partly cloudy.A slight(20%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm later at night.Winds south-southwesterly at 15-25 km/h.


Tuesday February 6:
City:
19-29 Degrees Celsius
Possible AM shower or thunderstorm.
Chance of any rain:30%
Rainfall amount:0 to 1 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
A slight(30%) chance of a shower or thunderstorm during the early hours and morning then some high clouds(mostly sunny)..Winds south-southwesterly at 10-20 km/h increasing to 25-40 km/h from late morning easing to 20-30 km/h at night.


Wednesday February 7:
City:
18-28 Degrees Celsius
Possible AM drizzle then partly to mostly cloudy.
Chance of any rain:30%
Rainfall amount:0 to 0.4 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
Partly to mostly cloudy.A slight(30%) chance of drizzle during the early hours and morning.Winds south to southeasterly at 15-30 km/h.


Thursday February 8:
City:
17-32 Degrees Celsius
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain:0%
Rainfall amount:0 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
Partly cloudy.Winds east-southeasterly at 15-25 km/h becoming south-southwesterly at 15-25 km/h from afternoon easing to 10-20 km/h at night.


Friday February 9:
City:
21-31 Degrees Celsius
Becoming sunny.
Chance of any rain:10%
Rainfall amount:0 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
Mostly sunny becoming sunny by around the middle of the day.Winds easterly at 10-20 km/h becoming southwesterly at 20-35 km/h from afternoon.


Saturday February 10:
City:
19-33 Degrees Celsius
Becoming sunny.
Chance of any rain:0%
Rainfall amount:0 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
Mostly sunny becoming sunny by around the middle of the day.Winds south-southeasterly at 15-25 km/h becoming south-southwesterly at 20-30 km/h from afternoon becoming south to southeasterly at 10-20 km/h at night.


Sunday February 11:
City:
20-32 Degrees Celsius
Becoming sunny.
Chance of any rain:0%
Rainfall amount:0 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
Mostly sunny becoming sunny by around the middle of the day.Winds east-southeasterly at 15-25 km/h becoming south-southwesterly at 20-30 km/h from afternoon becoming south- southeasterly at 10-20 km/h at night.



Monday February 12:
City:
18-28 Degrees Celsius
Mostly sunny.
Chance of any rain:0%
Rainfall amount:0 mm.


Perth metropolitan area:
Mostly sunny.Light winds becoming southwesterly at 20-35 km/h from afternoon easing to 15-25 km/h at night.

Forecast produced at 6:20 PM Monday February 5.Weather icons courtesy of the US National Weather Service.