7 day weather forecast

 Effective as of 4:00 PM Sunday February 28 2021

Explanatory notes:

​

​Showers and thunderstorms from Monday to Thursday as an upper level disturbance stalls to the west as it would be blocked by an upper level ridge then over Central Australia.

Thunderstorms most likely from Monday afternoon as instability increases. 

With the cold pool aloft with 500 hPa temperatures down to -13°C, hail is possible should thunderstorms occur but the intensity of thunderstorms would depend on the extent to which earlier precipitation and cloud holds surface temperatures down thus limiting instability, the most intense thunderstorms are most likely to occur in the afternoon on Tuesday and Wednesday should there be intense solar heating. Steering winds from Monday to Wednesday would be from the north-northeast allowing for thunderstorms which form inland to be steered towards Perth.

Gusty winds and heavy rainfall is also possible with the thunderstorms with dew points being as high as almost 20°C possible.

The upper level disturbance lies to the east by Friday but it remains unusually humid with the slight chance of showers due to the precipitation earlier in the week having moistened soils.

 

Sunday February 28:

City:

18-31  Degrees Celsius

Partly cloudy.

Chance of any rain:10%

Amount:Nil

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly cloudy.Winds east-southeasterly at 20-30 km/h possibly tending south-southwesterly over coastal surburbs in the afternoon.

Monday March 1:

City:

18-25  Degrees Celsius

Showers.Possible PM thunderstorm.

Chance of any rain:90%

Amount:5 to 20 mm

Perth Metropolitan Area:

​​​Partly to mostly cloudy.A high(70%) chance of showers. The chance of a thunderstorm from afternoon.Winds east-southeasterly at 20-30 km/h.

Tuesday March 2:

City:

19-31  Degrees Celsius

Showers and thunderstorms.

Chance of any rain:70%

Amount:2 to 10 mm

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly to mostly cloudy.A high(70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms especially from afternoon.Gusty winds, heavy rainfall and hail possible with thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. Winds easetrly at 20-30 km/h.

Wednesday March 3:

City:

20-28  Degrees Celsius

Showers and thunderstorms.

Chance of any rain:80%

Amount:5 to 20 mm

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly to mostly cloudy.A high(80%) chance of showers and thunderstorms.Gusty winds, heavy rainfall and hail possible with thunderstorms from afternoon. Winds east-northeasterly at 20-30 km/h becoming northeasterly in the afternoon.

Thursday March 4:

City:

20-28  Degrees Celsius

Showers and thunderstorm.

Chance of any rain:60%

Amount:0 to 5 mm

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly cloudy.A medium(60%) chance of showers and/or thunderstorms.Winds northeasterly at 10-20 km/h shifting westerly later during the day.

Friday March 5:

City:

18-27  Degrees Celsius

Possible shower.

Chance of any rain:30%

Amount:0 to 1 mm

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly cloudy.A slight(30%) chance of showers..Light winds tending west-southwesterly at 10-20 km/h during the afternoon.

Saturday March 6:

City:

18-28  Degrees Celsius

Partly cloudy.

Chance of any rain:10%

Amount:Nil

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly cloudy.Light winds tending southwesterly at 10-20 km/h during the afternoon.

Sunday March 7:

City:

18-28  Degrees Celsius

Partly cloudy.

Chance of any rain:10%

Amount:Nil

Perth Metropolitan Area:

Partly cloudy.Winds southeasterly at 10-20 km/h tending south-southwesterly at 15-25 km/h during the afternoon.

​

​

Cha

                                   

Figure 1.Surface synoptic chart at 12 UTC(8 PM local time yesterday).Image courtesy of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology(BOM).

 2. 

Figure 2.Key features identified on True Colour RGB satellite image at around 06:00 UTC(2 PM local time yesterday).Satellite image courtesy of the Japanese Meteorological Agency(JMA).

Figure 3.Mean Sea Level Pressure(MSLP) analysis with infrared greyscale satellite image at 12 UTC(8 PM 

local time yesterday).Image courtesy of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology(BOM)

Figure 4:Surface synoptic prognosis.Image courtesy of the Australian Bureau of Meteorology(BOM).