Effective as of 4:00 PM Thursday May 6 2021
Explanatory notes:
A surface trough ahead of an upper level trough brought showers and isolated thunderstorms today.Further showers and isolated thunderstorms possible for the rest of today in the moist and unstable flow but are less likely/more isolated compared to earlier.
Showers likely contracting to coastal areas overnight as the upper level trough moves to the east and surface winds turn southeasterly with land breeze development with low level wind convergence offshore acting as a focus for shower development., showers should lie offshore by morning.
The chance of fog early tomorrow with light winds and radiational cooling of moist air with moist soils from today's rain, fog development depends on how much cloud cover clears overnight.
Ridge of high pressure builds to the south leading to fine conditions.
Warmer afternoons early next week with warm air advection as the high moves into the Great Australian Bight.
As usual, some uncertainty on the precise conditions towards the end of the forecast period with variation between models and model ensembles.
Chance of any rain:40%
Perth Metropolitan Area:
Partly to mostly cloudy.A medium (40%) chance of showers.The slight chance of a thunderstorm.Winds westerly at 10-20 km/h becoming south-southwesterly by night, light later at night.
Partly cloudy.
Chance of any rain:20%
Amount:Nil
Perth Metropolitan Area:
Partly cloudy. A slight (30%) chance of showers near the coast early, a slight(20%) chance elsewhere.Winds southeasterly at 10-20 km/h tending south-southwesterly at 15-25 km/h in the afternoon.